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oh well...ideal world.  I realize there are tons of variables.  I will print out competitors monthly rankings along with mine.  Now that I think about it that is really the ultimate measure I should concern myself with at the moment.  Thanks for response!

Google "strongly" suggests not using and/or removing meta refresh tags: http://www.seroundtable.com/archives/022447.html Although they may pass some juice, it's not nearly as effective as a 301, especially for a site migration. In my experience, a page that tells visitors they will soon be redirected risks high bounce rates and abandonment. Really like Zachary's suggestion. A brief message, based on referrer data (Zachary may be able to help with this) seems to be the way to go, and safely delivers your visitors where they need to be.